Sunday, October 02, 2011
Jamais Cascio on the Foresight Paradox
The respected futurist and scenario planner Jamais Cascio has a good commentary post up on the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies site - he considers the dilemma facing futures, scenario planning and other foresight practitioners in communicating scenarios to clients, audiences and publics that balance likelihood (and detail) with believability, with the two in a trade-off relationship with each other. Cascio’s visionary 2006 post - an inspiration to us at the Scenario Lab - on the potential of mass participatory online scenario writing is also certainly worth revisiting when considering this “foresight paradox”.
Blogging •
Organizations
Acceleration Studies Foundation, USA
The Centre for Scenario Planning and Future Studies, University of Strathclyde, UK
Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, Denmark
Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies, University of Hawaii, USA
Institute for Alternative Futures, USA
Oxford Scenarios Program, Oxford University, UK
RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition, USA
Scenario Planning Institute, Colorado State University, USA
World Futures Studies Federation
Blogs
