Sunday, October 02, 2011

Jamais Cascio on the Foresight Paradox

The respected futurist and scenario planner Jamais Cascio has a good commentary post up on the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies site - he considers the dilemma facing futures, scenario planning and other foresight practitioners in communicating scenarios to clients, audiences and publics that balance likelihood (and detail) with believability, with the two in a trade-off relationship with each other. Cascio’s visionary 2006 post - an inspiration to us at the Scenario Lab - on the potential of mass participatory online scenario writing is also certainly worth revisiting when considering this “foresight paradox”.

Posted by Zhan Li on 10/02 at 08:14 AM
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